US: Fed Minutes Indicate Rate Cut Likely In September

US: Fed Minutes Indicate Rate Cut Likely In September

New Delhi: In the most recent monetary policy meeting, held on July 30-31, 2024, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) resolved to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25 to 5.5 percent, as detailed in the minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday.

The minutes reveal that the majority of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, in attendance at the meeting, expressed a consensus on the necessity for a policy rate reduction at the forthcoming September meeting.

During the July 30-31, 2024, meeting, the FOMC deliberated on the state of the U.S. economy, which was noted to be exhibiting signs of robust growth, albeit at a pace slower than in 2023. The committee observed that, despite a moderation in job gains, the unemployment rate had remained steady at 4.1 percent, signifying a robust labor market.

"The majority of participants observed that, should the data continue to reflect expectations, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the upcoming meeting," as articulated in the minutes.

Furthermore, the minutes highlight that the Federal Reserve Board members discussed the state of the economy, acknowledging that economic activity had continued to expand at a solid pace. There was a moderation in job gains, but the unemployment rate had increased but remained within a low range.

Additionally, the minutes detail that financial conditions have seen a slight improvement, with a decline in long-term interest rates and an increase in equity prices. This shift in financial dynamics has led to discussions among committee members regarding the potential for further policy easing in the future, contingent upon economic conditions.

The Federal Reserve Board also noted that participants observed a decrease in inflation over the past year, although it remained elevated. There has been some progress in recent months toward achieving the Committee's 2 percent inflation objective.

Market participants and analysts are closely monitoring the actions of the FOMC, as they are expected to significantly impact consumer spending, investment strategies, and overall economic sentiment in the coming months.

The minutes also indicate that the next meeting of the FOMC will be convened on Tuesday-Wednesday, September 17-18, 2024.

 

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